Drivers of mortality dynamics : identifying age-period-cohort components of historical U.S. mortality improvements

<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><modsCollection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-8.xsd">
<mods version="3.8">
<titleInfo>
<title>Drivers of mortality dynamics</title>
<subTitle>: identifying age-period-cohort components of historical U.S. mortality improvements</subTitle>
</titleInfo>
<typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource>
<genre authority="marcgt">periodical</genre>
<originInfo>
<place>
<placeTerm type="code" authority="marccountry">usa</placeTerm>
</place>
<dateIssued encoding="marc">2020</dateIssued>
<issuance>serial</issuance>
</originInfo>
<language>
<languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">eng</languageTerm>
</language>
<physicalDescription>
<form authority="marcform">print</form>
</physicalDescription>
<abstract displayLabel="Summary">The goal of this article is to obtain an age/period/cohort (A/P/C) decomposition of historical U.S. mortality improvement. Two different routes to achieving this goal are considered. In the first route, the desired components are obtained by fitting an A/P/C model directly to historical mortality improvement rates. In the second route, an A/P/C model is estimated to historical crude death rates and the desired components are then obtained by differencing the estimated model parameters. For each route, various possible A/P/C model structures are tested and evaluated on the basis of their robustness to several factors (e.g., changes in the calibration window) and their ability to explain historical changes in mortality improvement. Based on the evaluation results, an A/P/C decomposition for each gender is recommended. The decomposition will be examined in a follow-up project, in which the linkages between the A/P/C components and certain intrinsic factors will be identified.</abstract>
<note type="statement of responsibility"> Johnny Siu-Hang Li...[et al.] </note>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080555306">
<topic>Mortalidad</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080586447">
<topic>Modelo estocástico</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080597733">
<topic>Modelos estadísticos</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080599300">
<topic>Tablas de mortalidad</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080579258">
<topic>Cálculo actuarial</topic>
</subject>
<subject authority="lcshac" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080638337">
<geographic>Estados Unidos</geographic>
</subject>
<classification authority="">6</classification>
<relatedItem type="host">
<titleInfo>
<title>North American actuarial journal</title>
</titleInfo>
<originInfo>
<publisher>Schaumburg : Society of Actuaries, 1997-</publisher>
</originInfo>
<identifier type="issn">1092-0277</identifier>
<identifier type="local">MAP20077000239</identifier>
<part>
<text>01/06/2020 Tomo 24 Número 2 - 2020 , p. 228-250</text>
</part>
</relatedItem>
<recordInfo>
<recordContentSource authority="marcorg">MAP</recordContentSource>
<recordCreationDate encoding="marc">200528</recordCreationDate>
<recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20200602122708.0</recordChangeDate>
<recordIdentifier source="MAP">MAP20200018100</recordIdentifier>
<languageOfCataloging>
<languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">spa</languageTerm>
</languageOfCataloging>
</recordInfo>
</mods>
</modsCollection>