MAP20210022043 Fuentes, Carlos How Not to Be Wrong / Carlos Fuentes Sumario: Probability and statistics are analytical tools with applications in many areas of knowledge. Unfortunately, for evolutionary reasons, our sense of probability and our ability to interpret patterns are poor:[1] our thought process struggles with large numbers; we are influenced by frames of reference; our choices are inconsistent; our views about gains and losses are asymmetric En: Contingencies : American Academy of Actuaries. - Washington : American Academy of Actuaries, 2019-2024. - 05/07/2021 Año 2021 Número 4 - 2021 julio-agosto , p. 24-33 1. Cálculo actuarial . 2. Matemática del seguro . 3. Estadísticas . I. Title.