Tempered pareto-type modelling using weibull distributions

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      <subfield code="a">Tempered pareto-type modelling using weibull distributions</subfield>
      <subfield code="c">Hansjörg Albrecher, José Carlos Araujo-Acuna, Jan Beirlant</subfield>
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      <subfield code="a">In various applications of heavy-tail modelling, the assumed Pareto behaviour is tempered ultimately in the range of the largest data. In insurance applications, claim payments are influenced by claim management and claims may, for instance, be subject to a higher level of inspection at highest damage levels leading to weaker tails than apparent from modal claims. Generalizing earlier results of Meerschaert et al. (2012) and Raschke (2020), in this paper we consider tempering of a Pareto-type distribution with a general Weibull distribution in a peaks-over-threshold approach. This requires to modulate the tempering parameters as a function of the chosen threshold. Modelling such a tempering effect is important in order to avoid overestimation of risk measures such as the value-at-risk at high quantiles. We use a pseudo maximum likelihood approach to estimate the model parameters and consider the estimation of extreme quantiles. We derive basic asymptotic results for the estimators, give illustrations with simulation experiments and apply the developed techniques to fire and liability insurance data, providing insight into the relevance of the tempering component in heavy-tail modelling.</subfield>
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      <subfield code="d">Belgium : ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association</subfield>
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      <subfield code="g">10/05/2021 Volumen 51 Número 2 - mayo 2021 , p. 509 - 538</subfield>
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