Turbulence after lift-off : global economic and insurance market outlook 2022-23
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| Tag | 1 | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| LDR | 00000cam a22000004b 4500 | ||
| 001 | MAP20210032806 | ||
| 003 | MAP | ||
| 005 | 20211123123933.0 | ||
| 008 | 211117s2021 che|||| ||| ||eng d | ||
| 040 | $aMAP$bspa$dMAP | ||
| 084 | $a219 | ||
| 245 | 1 | 0 | $aTurbulence after lift-off$b: global economic and insurance market outlook 2022-23 |
| 260 | $aZurich$bSwiss Re Institute$c2021 | ||
| 300 | $a42 p | ||
| 490 | 0 | $aSigma$vNo 5 /2021 | |
| 520 | $aThe world economy is making a strong recovery from the COVID-19 shock and the outlook is positive. However, peak growth is behind us and this cyclical recovery is not a structural one. We forecast global real economic growth of 5.6% in 2021, 4.1% in 2022 and 3.0% in 2023. The recovery will be uneven, with risks tilted to the downside. Supply-side shocks, including global supply chain issues, labour shortages and energy shortages, may persist, while monetary policy is becoming less accommodative. Inflation is our number one near-term macro risk and we expect it to be elevated for some time, stemming from the same supply-side factors that are constraining growth. Pressure is starting to feed into slower-moving but harder to reverse areas such as rent and wages. We expect these headwinds to weigh on the outlook in 2022 and 2023, making structural healing - the policies that work to reverse the permanent negative impacts of the pandemic on the economy - difficult. | ||
| 522 | $aInternacional | ||
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080586294$aMercado de seguros | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080611880$aPerspectivas del seguro | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080611897$aPerspectivas económicas | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080608316$aRecuperación económica | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20120019492$aTendencias | |
| 710 | 2 | $0MAPA20170013402$aSwiss Re Institute | |
| 830 | 0 | $0MAPA20080501587$aSigma |