Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Three conceptions of quantified societal risk

MAP20071029590

Three conceptions of quantified societal risk / Pieter Jan M. Stallen, Rob Geerts, and Han K. Vrijling

Sumario: In several European countries efforts are undertaken, in particular with regard to fixed industrial installations and transport of dangerous substances, to quantify the "societal risk" (SR) of accidents that may cause more than one victim at a time. This article explores the nature of such efforts. SR-models are essentially ways to structure the distribution of potential social costs of decisions about hazardous activities. First, the various ways to describe SR quantitatively, and to set limits to SR will be presented in short. Next, using a scheme developed by Fischhoff and colleagues, the various approaches will be placed in broad categories of reaching acceptable risk decisions: bootstrapping, formal analysis, and professional judgment

En: Risk analysis. - New York and London. - Vol. 16, nº 5, 1996 ; p. 635-644

1. Transporte de mercancías peligrosas . 2. Instalaciones industriales . 3. Productos tóxicos y peligrosos . 4. Accidentes mayores . 5. Costes humanos . 6. Prevención de accidentes . 7. Análisis de riesgos . I. Geerts, Rob . II. Vrijling, Han K. . III. Title. IV. Título: Risk analysis.