CDS spreads and default risk : a leading indicator?

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      <subfield code="a"> Credit default swap (CDS) spreads have been gaining greater visibility as default risk indicators over the past several years. Fitch Ratings provides its ratings analysts with access to CDS pricing data as one of many analytical tools, and outliers whose spreads deviate significantly from peers may prompt further review of an individual credit. Some market participants also use CDS spreads to derive quantitative estimates of a company's probability of default (PD)</subfield>
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