Global economic outlook and scenarios

<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim http://www.loc.gov/standards/marcxml/schema/MARC21slim.xsd">
  <record>
    <leader>00000cam a22000004b 4500</leader>
    <controlfield tag="001">MAP20150029607</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="003">MAP</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="005">20150914144455.0</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="008">150914s2015    che||||       ||| ||eng d</controlfield>
    <datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">MAP</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">spa</subfield>
      <subfield code="d">MAP</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">921</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="245" ind1="0" ind2="0">
      <subfield code="a">Global economic outlook and scenarios</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="260" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">Zurich</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">Swiss Re</subfield>
      <subfield code="c">2015</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">Economic research & consulting</subfield>
      <subfield code="v">4 september 2015</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">A strong upward revision to growth in the second quarter has pushed up the estimate for real GDP growth in 2015 to 2.6% from 2.4% last month. Healthy job gains and robust real income growth are boosting consumer spending and strengthening the housing market. Though manufacturing has been somewhat soft recently,  the services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) remains, at 59, very high, indicating robust growth in the largest sector of the economy. Real GDP growth is forecast to rise from 2.6% this year and to 3.1% in 2016. Given the relatively modest employment report (173,000 job gain), global market turmoil and the lack of Fed guidance on a rate hike in September, the first rate hike is now projected to be in October. The forecast of the yield on the 10-year Treasury note has been revised to be 2.6% by end-2015 and 3.4% by end-2016</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="1">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080605858</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Economía internacional</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="1">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080611897</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Perspectivas económicas</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="1">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080575298</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Crisis económica</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="1">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080600709</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Datos macroeconómicos</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="710" ind1="2" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080436261</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Swiss Re</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="830" ind1=" " ind2="0">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20090042582</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Swiss Re economic research & consulting</subfield>
    </datafield>
  </record>
</collection>