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The Theory of optimal stochastic control as applied to insurance underwriting cycles

Recurso electrónico / Electronic resource
Registro MARC
Tag12Valor
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001  MAP20170004684
003  MAP
005  20170214105226.0
008  170214e20161230usa|||p |0|||b|eng d
040  ‎$a‎MAP‎$b‎spa‎$d‎MAP
084  ‎$a‎6
1001 ‎$0‎MAPA20080648558‎$a‎Eckles, David L.
24514‎$a‎The Theory of optimal stochastic control as applied to insurance underwriting cycles‎$c‎David L. Eckles, David G. McCarthy, Xudong Zeng
520  ‎$a‎We use the theories of optimal stochastic control and engineering process control to analyze the well-known phenomenon of insurance underwriting cycles in continuous time. We show in a continuous time framework that underwriting cycles can be explained with a model where premiums are set rationally, but where there are various reporting and regulatory lags. We find that the observed cycle length depends on the length of these underlying lags. Our result can be seen as consistent with previous empirical work showing underwriting cycles varying across countries and lines of insurance. In the event that no lags exist, our result is also consistent with more recent literature suggesting that insurance cycles may not exist.
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080602437‎$a‎Matemática del seguro
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080598532‎$a‎Provisiones técnicas
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080586447‎$a‎Modelo estocástico
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080626617‎$a‎Cálculo de provisiones técnicas
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20170002031‎$a‎McCarthy, David G.
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20140000111‎$a‎Zeng, Xudong
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077000239‎$t‎North American actuarial journal‎$d‎Schaumburg : Society of Actuaries, 1997-‎$x‎1092-0277‎$g‎30/12/2016 Tomo 20 Número 4 - 2016 , p. 327-340