How Not to Be Wrong

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      <subfield code="a">Probability and statistics are analytical tools with applications in many areas of knowledge. Unfortunately, for evolutionary reasons, our sense of probability and our ability to interpret patterns are poor:[1] our thought process struggles with large numbers; we are influenced by frames of reference; our choices are inconsistent; our views about gains and losses are asymmetric.</subfield>
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      <subfield code="t">Contingencies : American Academy of Actuaries</subfield>
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      <subfield code="g">05/07/2021 Año 2021 Número 4 - 2021 julio-agosto , p. 24-33</subfield>
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