The Economic outlook darkens

<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><modsCollection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-8.xsd">
<mods version="3.8">
<titleInfo>
<nonSort xml:space="preserve">The  </nonSort>
<title>Economic outlook darkens</title>
</titleInfo>
<name type="personal" usage="primary" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20220002356">
<namePart>Mueller, Charlotte </namePart>
<nameIdentifier>MAPA20220002356</nameIdentifier>
</name>
<name type="personal" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20220002349">
<namePart>Van Der Watt, Diana</namePart>
<nameIdentifier>MAPA20220002349</nameIdentifier>
</name>
<name type="corporate" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20170013402">
<namePart>Swiss Re Institute</namePart>
<nameIdentifier>MAPA20170013402</nameIdentifier>
</name>
<typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource>
<originInfo>
<place>
<placeTerm type="code" authority="marccountry">deu</placeTerm>
</place>
<issuance>monographic</issuance>
<place>
<placeTerm type="text">Zurich</placeTerm>
</place>
<publisher>Swiss Re Institute</publisher>
<dateIssued>2022</dateIssued>
</originInfo>
<language>
<languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">eng</languageTerm>
</language>
<physicalDescription>
<form authority="marcform">print</form>
<extent>2 p.</extent>
</physicalDescription>
<abstract displayLabel="Summary">The global economic outlook has worsened, even from our former below-consensus growth and above-consensus inflation forecasts. The ramifications of the conflict in Ukraine raise global uncertainty to a new level. We see higher likelihood of stagflation and recessionary outcomes resulting from the energy price shock, as the shock transitions from moderate to severe. Given its energy dependency on Russia, the immediate impact is larger for the euro area than US. We estimate that the energy price shock alone could lead to at least 1 to 2 percentage points (ppt) lower GDP growth and at least 1 to 2ppt higher inflation in the euro area. While energy is the primary channel today, we expect weaker financial conditions and consumer sentiment to drag on growth soon.</abstract>
<note type="statement of responsibility">Charlotte Mueller, Diana Van Der Watt</note>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080546915">
<topic>Economía</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080600648">
<topic>Crecimiento económico</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080611897">
<topic>Perspectivas económicas</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20090040410">
<topic>Recesión económica</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080543808">
<topic>Energía</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080584221">
<topic>Conflictos armados</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080541224">
<topic>Guerra</topic>
</subject>
<classification authority="">921</classification>
<relatedItem type="series">
<titleInfo>
<title>Issue 4/2022</title>
</titleInfo>
</relatedItem>
<recordInfo>
<recordContentSource authority="marcorg">MAP</recordContentSource>
<recordCreationDate encoding="marc">220308</recordCreationDate>
<recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20220308151118.0</recordChangeDate>
<recordIdentifier source="MAP">MAP20220007634</recordIdentifier>
<languageOfCataloging>
<languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">spa</languageTerm>
</languageOfCataloging>
</recordInfo>
</mods>
</modsCollection>