Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - China's inflation challenge : deflation pressure is easing, but little upside to come

MAP20240005740

China's inflation challenge : deflation pressure is easing, but little upside to come. — Adliswil, Swiss : Swiss Re Institute, 2024

2 p . — (Economic Insights ; Issue 7-2024)

China's headline CPI returned to growth in February after four months of deflation raised concerns of sustained price falls. We forecast very slight inflation, of an average 0.5%, in 2024, due to higher food prices, stable core inflation and further stimulus, but domestic demand remains weak. Low inflation in China should contribute to global disinflation, primarily via lower export prices. This would support insurance markets but may be controversial among producers in importing countries. Global economic impacts would be more negative if China were to experience a Japan-like stagnation scenario, but we see the likelihood of this as low

1. Política económica . 2. Inflación . 3. Perspectivas económicas . 4. China . I. Swiss Re Institute . II. Economic Insights . III. Título.