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MAP20071501496Smith, John M.Reducing uncertainties with catastrophe models / by John M. SmithIn order to manage a risk, the nature of the risk must be fully understood. But when it comes to natural catastrophes such as earthquakes, hurricanes and tornadoes, risk managers are faced with many uncerteinties. A catastrophe model combines a lot of scientific information with mathematical techniques to simulate natural events and the outcomesEn: Risk Management. - New York : The Risk and Insurance Management Society. - Vol. 47, nº 2 February 2000; p. 23-261. Catástrofes naturales. 2. Modelos de simulación. 3. Gerencia de riesgos. 4. Prevención de accidentes mayores. 5. Proteccion de personas. I. Risk and Insurance Management Society. II. Título.