LDR | | | 00000cab a2200000 4500 |
001 | | | MAP20210027277 |
003 | | | MAP |
005 | | | 20220911201419.0 |
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040 | | | $aMAP$bspa$dMAP |
084 | | | $a6 |
100 | 1 | | $0MAPA20210031816$aFreimann, Arne |
245 | 1 | 0 | $aPricing longevity-linked securities in the presence of mortality trend changes $cArne Freimann |
520 | | | $aEven though the trend in mortality improvements has experienced several permanent changes in the past, the uncertainty regarding future mortality trends is often left unmodeled when pricing longevity-linked securities. In this paper, we present a stochastic modeling framework for the valuation of longevity-linked securities which explicitly considers the risk of random future changes in the long-term mortality trend. We construct a set of meaningful probability distortions which imply equivalent risk-adjusted pricing measures under which the basic model structure is preserved. Inspired by risk-based capital requirements for (re)insurers, we also establish a cost-of-capital pricing approach which then serves as the appropriate reference framework for finding a reasonable range for the market price of longevity risk. In a numerical application, we demonstrate that our model produces plausible risk loadings and show that a greater proportion of the risk loading is allocated to longer maturities when the risk of random future mortality trend changes is adequately modeled. |
540 | | | $aLa copia digital se distribuye bajo licencia "Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)"$f$uhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0$943 |
650 | | 4 | $0MAPA20080555016$aLongevidad |
650 | | 4 | $0MAPA20080555306$aMortalidad |
650 | | 4 | $0MAPA20080598358$aProductos de seguros |
650 | | 4 | $0MAPA20190001113$aSeguros vinculados a valores |
650 | | 4 | $0MAPA20080564322$aTarificación |
650 | | 4 | $0MAPA20080602437$aMatemática del seguro |
773 | 0 | | $wMAP20077000420$tAstin bulletin$dBelgium : ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association$x0515-0361$g10/05/2021 Volumen 51 Número 2 - mayo 2021 , p. 411-447 |
856 | | | $qapplication/pdf$w258$yRecurso electrónico / Electronic resource |