Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Global economic outlook and scenarios

MAP20110072742

Global economic outlook and scenarios. — Zurich : Swiss Re, 2011

(Economic research & consulting ; 6 december 2011)

Sumario: The situation in the Euro area is improving on the political front, but this is probably too late to avoid a recession. Most likely, the region has already entered a twoquarter recession. Prospects for the US economy have improved over the past two months, so it is likely to avoid a recession but will still have weak growth, at best. On the upside, growth could be moderate, rather than negative if energy prices decline and low interest rates have a stronger impact. On the other hand, the economic situation could prove to be much worse than in the current forecast, with a long period of low growth, low inflation and interest rates below 2%

1. Economía internacional . 2. Perspectivas económicas . 3. Crisis económica . 4. Datos macroeconómicos . I. Swiss Re . II. Swiss Re economic research & consulting .