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CAT bond pricing under a product probability measure with pot risk characterization
Recurso electrónico / Electronic resource
Registro MARC
Tag12Valor
LDR  00000cab a2200000 4500
001  MAP20190019477
003  MAP
005  20190626151102.0
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100  ‎$0‎​MAPA20080650421‎$a‎​Tang, Qihe ‌
24510‎$a‎​CAT bond pricing under a product probability measure with pot risk characterization‎$c‎​Qihe Tang, Zhongyi Yuan
300  ‎$a‎​34 p.
520  ‎$a‎​Frequent large losses from recent catastrophes have caused great concerns among insurers/reinsurers, who then turn to seek mitigations of such catastrophe risks by issuing catastrophe (CAT) bonds and thereby transferring the risks to the bond market. Whereas, the pricing of CAT bonds remains a challenging task, mainly due to the facts that the CAT bond market is incomplete and that the pricing usually requires knowledge about the tail of the risks. In this paper, we propose a general pricing framework based on a product pricing measure, which combines a distorted probability measure that prices the catastrophe risks underlying the CAT bond with a risk-neutral probability measure that prices interest rate risk. We also demonstrate the use of the peaks over threshold (POT) method to uncover the tail risk. Finally, we conduct case studies using Mexico and California earthquake data to demonstrate the applicability of our pricing framework.
650 4‎$0‎​MAPA20080602437‎$a‎​Matemática del seguro ‌
650 4‎$0‎​MAPA20080600204‎$a‎​Catástrofes naturales ‌
650 4‎$0‎​MAPA20080615673‎$a‎​Transferencia de riesgos ‌
650 4‎$0‎​MAPA20080564322‎$a‎​Tarificación ‌
650 4‎$0‎​MAPA20080613105‎$a‎​Análisis probabilísticos ‌
7001 ‎$0‎​MAPA20190008761‎$a‎​Yuan, Zhongyi ‌
7730 ‎$w‎​MAP20077000420‎$t‎​Astin bulletin‎$d‎​Belgium : ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association‎$x‎​0515-0361‎$g‎​01/05/2019 Volumen 49 Número 2 - mayo 2019 , p. 457-490