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Pricing Hurricane Bonds Using a Physically Based Option Pricing Approach

Recurso electrónico / Electronic resource
Registro MARC
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1001 ‎$0‎MAPA20120018082‎$a‎Chang, Carolyn W.
24510‎$a‎Pricing Hurricane Bonds Using a Physically Based Option Pricing Approach‎$c‎Carolyn W. Chang, Jack S. K. Chang, Min-Teh Yu
520  ‎$a‎Hurricane bonds are unique in that they are structured with a dual exercise condition: a physically based condition that the underlying hurricane makes landfall at a prespecified location, and a standard moneyness condition that they end in the money. As the time of landfall is uncertain, their maturities are also uniquely random. This research thus proposes a modeling methodology to solve this option-pricing problemthat is, to price hurricane bonds at the nexus of atmospheric science and finance by integrating hurricane risk modeling and option pricing modeling. We resolve this dual exercise/random maturity issue by implementing a coupled hurricane generator to simulate hurricane synthetic tracks, intensity, radius, two-dimensional wind fields, and hurricane-index value evolution along the tracks. We price the increasingly popular parametric and parametric-index hurricane bonds by Monte Carlo simulations, as the underlying hurricane indices are untraded and thus replication pricing is not viable.
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080551254‎$a‎Huracanes
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20210022784‎$a‎Fijación
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080545062‎$a‎Precios
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080579258‎$a‎Cálculo actuarial
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20220002714‎$a‎Chang, Jack S. K.
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20180012969‎$a‎Yu, Min-Teh
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077000239‎$g‎07/03/2022 Tomo 26 Número 1 - 2022 , p. 27-42‎$x‎1092-0277‎$t‎North American actuarial journal‎$d‎Schaumburg : Society of Actuaries, 1997-