Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Beneath the surface : uncovering "true" growth and inflation

Publicação: Adliswil, Swiss : Swiss Re Institute, 2022Descrição física: 2 pSérie: (Economic insights ; Issue 21/2022)Notas: Sumario: Forecasts for GDP growth or inflation can be skewed by "carry-over effects", in which the prior year's growth dynamics impact the current year's forecast. We see this in our 2022 real GDP forecasts, which make our numbers look higher than the "true" growth this year. In 2023 this effect should reverse for GDP growth but should intensify for inflation. "True" growth and inflation are key to watch in volatile economic periods like todayMateria / lugar / evento: Mercados financieros Inflación Mercado de seguros Crecimiento económico Serie secundária: Economic Insights Outras classificações: 92