The Future of life expectancy : forecasting long-term mortality improvement trends for insurance

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      <subfield code="a">The Future of life expectancy</subfield>
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      <subfield code="a">Human longevity is one of the great success stories of the past century, and there is broad consensus that there are further gains to come. Mortality improvement forecasts underpin the insurance industrys long-term mortality and longevity lines of business. To generate long term forecasts, defined as beyond 20 years, a holistic view of the factors that influence mortality is considered a better predictor than historical data alone. This approach combines analyses of past trends with a forward-looking view of medical advances, societal changes and technological developments</subfield>
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