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Safe-side scenarios for financial and biometrical risk

Recurso electrónico / electronic resource
MARC record
Tag12Value
LDR  00000cab a2200000 4500
001  MAP20130038490
003  MAP
005  20131120175251.0
008  131119e20130902esp|||p |0|||b|eng d
040  ‎$a‎MAP‎$b‎spa‎$d‎MAP
084  ‎$a‎6
1001 ‎$0‎MAPA20130002446‎$a‎Christiansen, Marcus C.
24510‎$a‎Safe-side scenarios for financial and biometrical risk‎$c‎Marcus C. Christiansen, Mogens Steffensen
520  ‎$a‎Premium settlement and calculation of reserves and capital requirements are typically based on worst- or just bad-case assumptions on interest rates, mortality rates, and other transition rates between states defined according to the insurance benefits. If interest and transition rates are chosen independently from each other, the worst choice, i.e. the combination of interest rates and transition rates that maximizes the reserve, can be found by dynamic programming. Here, we generalize this idea by choosing the interest and transition rates from a set that allows for mutual dependence. In general, finding the worst case is much more complicated in this situation, but we characterize a set of relatively tractable problems and present a series of examples from this set. Our approach with mutual dependence is relevant e.g. for internal models in Solvency II.
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077000420‎$t‎Astin bulletin‎$d‎Belgium : ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association‎$x‎0515-0361‎$g‎02/09/2013 Volumen 43 Número 3 - septiembre 2013