Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Weather indicators for insurance hailstorm damage to motor vehicles and potential climate change impacts

MAP20160024739

Weather indicators for insurance hailstorm damage to motor vehicles and potential climate change impacts / Willem Jan Wouter Botzen, Laurens M. Bouwer

Sumario: Projections of the potential effects of climate change on damage caused by local extreme weather events are important for the design of appropriate policies for greenhouse gas emission reduction and insurers' adaptation responses to changing risks. This study estimates the relationships between daily insured damage from hailstorms to motor vehicles and several weather indicators, using statistical models with a high spatial resolution. It is accounted for temporal dynamics and changes in exposure to hailstorms. The best-fitting model includes indicators of local daily maximum temperatures and regional spatially averaged precipitation. The projected increase un hailstorm damage of up to 33 per cent during the hail season as a result of anthropogenic climate change by the year 2050 is smaller than the increase found in previous studies

En: Geneva papers on risk and insurance : issues and practice. - Geneva : The Geneva Association, 1976- = ISSN 1018-5895. - 01/07/2016 Volumen 41 Número 3 - julio 2016 , p. 512-527

1. Cambio climático . 2. Indicadores ambientales . 3. Granizo . 4. Daño material . 5. Vehículos automóviles . 6. Riesgos meteorológicos . 7. Desastres naturales . 8. Modelos estadísticos . 9. Países Bajos . I. Bouwer, Laurens M. . II. Title.