Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand

MAP20200010043

Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand / Neil M. Ferguson... [et al.]. — London : Imperial Collegue London, 2020

20 p. . — (Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team)

Sumario: The global impact of COVID-19 has been profound, and the public health threat it represents is the most serious seen in a respiratory virus since the 1918 H1N1 influenza pandemic. Here we present the results of epidemiological modelling which has informed policymaking in the UK and other countries in recent weeks. In the absence of a COVID-19 vaccine, we assess the potential role of a number of public health measures so-called non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) aimed at reducing contact rates in the population and thereby reducing transmission of the virus. In the results presented here, we apply a previously published microsimulation model to two countries: the UK (Great Britain specifically) and the US. We conclude that the effectiveness of any one intervention in isolation is likely to be limited, requiring multiple interventions to be combined to have a substantial impact on transmission.

1. COVID-19 . 2. Coronavirus . 3. Virus . 4. Pandemias . 5. Epidemiología . 6. Salud pública . 7. Investigación científica . 8. Estados Unidos . 9. Gran Bretaña . I. Imperial Collegue London . II. Title.