Exiting the lockdowns a tale of four stories

<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim http://www.loc.gov/standards/marcxml/schema/MARC21slim.xsd">
  <record>
    <leader>00000cam a22000004b 4500</leader>
    <controlfield tag="001">MAP20200013877</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="003">MAP</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="005">20200427094051.0</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="008">200210e20200416fra||||       ||| ||eng d</controlfield>
    <datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">MAP</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">eng</subfield>
      <subfield code="d">MAP</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">921.4</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20200002628</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Dib, Georges</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0">
      <subfield code="a">Exiting the lockdowns a tale of four stories</subfield>
      <subfield code="c">Georges Dib, Ludovic Subran</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="260" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">Paris</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">Euler Hermes </subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Munich</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">Allianz</subfield>
      <subfield code="c">2020</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">4 p.</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">Allianz Research</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">As more countries announce future end dates for lockdowns (France, the UK, Germany), already start curbing them (China, Austria and now Italy and Spain) all of them are outlining their plans to gradually restart activity. Yet one should keep in mind that not all countries are in the same boat; each faces different risks on the eve of deconfining. Starting with initial conditions, it is evident from epidemiological data that few countries are already in a position to start deconfining, i.e. boasting an estimated basic reproduction number R0<1. However, many would like to start relaxing restrictions as early as possible to support their economies. To understand potential exit strategies and the risks associated with them, we group countries over two dimensions that analyze their initial conditions, prior to lifting their lockdowns: the health readiness to deconfine and the economic vulnerability to confinement.</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20200005599</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">COVID-19</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080552022</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Pandemias</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080611897</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Perspectivas económicas</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080593315</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Sectores económicos</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20090040410</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Recesión económica</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080662257</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Interrupción de negocio</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20110032081</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Subran, Ludovic</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="710" ind1="2" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20140005529</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Euler Hermes</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="710" ind1="2" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080447007</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Allianz</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="856" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield>
      <subfield code="w">1105985</subfield>
      <subfield code="y">Recurso electrónico / Electronic resource</subfield>
    </datafield>
  </record>
</collection>