Search

Emerging Europe : the balance of risks is tilted to the downside

<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim http://www.loc.gov/standards/marcxml/schema/MARC21slim.xsd">
  <record>
    <leader>00000cam a22000004b 4500</leader>
    <controlfield tag="001">MAP20200037071</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="003">MAP</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="005">20201120102152.0</controlfield>
    <controlfield tag="008">200210e20201116fra||||       ||| ||eng d</controlfield>
    <datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">MAP</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">eng</subfield>
      <subfield code="d">MAP</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">921</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20200022879</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Stamer, Manfred </subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0">
      <subfield code="a">Emerging Europe</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">: the balance of risks is tilted to the downside</subfield>
      <subfield code="c">Manfred Stamer</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="260" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">Paris</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">Euler Hermes </subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Munich</subfield>
      <subfield code="b">Allianz</subfield>
      <subfield code="c">2020</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">7 p.</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">Allianz Research</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="a">Economic activity in the Emerging Europe region rebounded markedly in Q3 2020, but new lockdowns wi ll send the region into a double-dip
recession in Q4. Based on data available for nine economies that account for 70% of regional GDP, we estimate Q3 output to have expanded by +6.3% q/q, with the strongest increases seen in Slovakia (+11.7% q/q, after -8.3% in Q2, see Figure 1) and Hungary (+11.3% after -14.6% in Q2). This follows the substantial easing of lockdowns in May-June, as well as the restoring of supply chains and a recovery in the battered automotive sector. However, amid a very strong second wave of Covid-19, the 11 EU member states in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE-EU-11) have been forced to implement new lockdowns, albeit at varying stringency levels.</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080611897</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Perspectivas económicas</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080608316</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Recuperación económica</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080589974</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Coyuntura económica</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20090040410</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Recesión económica</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="1">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080637743</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Europa</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="710" ind1="2" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20140005529</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Euler Hermes</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="710" ind1="2" ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20080447007</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Allianz</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="830" ind1=" " ind2="0">
      <subfield code="0">MAPA20200011583</subfield>
      <subfield code="a">Allianz Research</subfield>
    </datafield>
    <datafield tag="856" ind1=" " ind2=" ">
      <subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield>
      <subfield code="w">1108767</subfield>
      <subfield code="y">Recurso electrónico / Electronic resource</subfield>
    </datafield>
  </record>
</collection>