How Not to Be Wrong

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<abstract displayLabel="Summary">Probability and statistics are analytical tools with applications in many areas of knowledge. Unfortunately, for evolutionary reasons, our sense of probability and our ability to interpret patterns are poor:[1] our thought process struggles with large numbers; we are influenced by frames of reference; our choices are inconsistent; our views about gains and losses are asymmetric.</abstract>
<note type="statement of responsibility">Carlos Fuentes</note>
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<title>Contingencies : American Academy of Actuaries</title>
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<publisher>Washington : American Academy of Actuaries, 2019-</publisher>
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<text>05/07/2021 Año 2021 Número 4 - 2021 julio-agosto , p. 24-33</text>
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