Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Wishart-gamma random effects models with applications to nonlife insurance

MAP20210022661

Wishart-gamma random effects models with applications to nonlife insurance / Michel Denuit, Yang Lu

Sumario: Random effects are particularly useful in insurance studies, to capture residual heterogeneity or to induce cross-sectional and/or serial dependence, opening hence the door to many applications including experience rating and microreserving. However, their nonobservability often makes existing models computationally cumbersome in a multivariate context. In this paper, it is shown that the multivariate extension to the Gamma distribution based on Wishart distributions for random symmetric positive-definite matrices (considering diagonal terms) is particularly tractable and convenient to model correlated random effects in multivariate frequency, severity and duration models. Three applications are discussed to demonstrate the versatility of the approach: (a) frequency-based experience rating with several policies or guarantees per policyholder, (b) experience rating accounting for the correlation between claim frequency and severity components, and (c) joint modeling and forecasting of the time-to-payment and amount of payment in microlevel reserving, when both are subject to censoring

En: The Journal of risk and insurance. - Nueva York : The American Risk and Insurance Association, 1964- = ISSN 0022-4367. - 01/06/2021 Volumen 88 Número 2 - junio 2021 , p. 443-481

1. Mercado de seguros . 2. Credibilidad . 3. Tarifas . 4. Seguros no vida . 5. Matemática del seguro . I. Lu, Yang . II. Title.