Search

US economic outlook : input and housing costs to hit inflation next while interest rates remain low

<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><modsCollection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-8.xsd">
<mods version="3.8">
<titleInfo>
<title>US economic outlook</title>
<subTitle>: input and housing costs to hit inflation next while interest rates remain low</subTitle>
</titleInfo>
<name type="personal" usage="primary" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20210031298">
<namePart>Jean Haegeli, Jérôme</namePart>
<nameIdentifier>MAPA20210031298</nameIdentifier>
</name>
<name type="personal" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080134648">
<namePart>Holzheu, Thomas</namePart>
<nameIdentifier>MAPA20080134648</nameIdentifier>
</name>
<name type="personal" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20210031304">
<namePart>Meyer, Jake</namePart>
<nameIdentifier>MAPA20210031304</nameIdentifier>
</name>
<typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource>
<originInfo>
<place>
<placeTerm type="code" authority="marccountry">deu</placeTerm>
</place>
<issuance>monographic</issuance>
<place>
<placeTerm type="text">Zurich</placeTerm>
</place>
<publisher>Swiss Re Institute</publisher>
<dateIssued>2021</dateIssued>
</originInfo>
<language>
<languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">eng</languageTerm>
</language>
<physicalDescription>
<form authority="marcform">print</form>
<extent>2 p.</extent>
</physicalDescription>
<abstract displayLabel="Summary">Slowing economic activity indicates peak growth has passed as the economy  returns to more normal output. We maintain our 2021 and 2022 GDP forecasts at 6.0% and 4.0% respectively. High demand, supply disruptions and rising rents Will likely keep monthly inflation above the Fed's 2% target into the fall, but this should balance deflationary pressure from normalizing prices in used autos. A more stable inflation outlook, coupled with expectations of muted long-run growth, are causing long-term interest rates to decline from the spike in Q2. Downside risks are elevated for construction and housing due to supply chain issues and high home valuations</abstract>
<note type="statement of responsibility">Jérôme Jean Haegeli, Thomas Holzheu, Jake Meyer</note>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080546915">
<topic>Economía</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080600648">
<topic>Crecimiento económico</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080583538">
<topic>Análisis económico</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080595906">
<topic>Desarrollo económico</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080551346">
<topic>Inflación</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20090040410">
<topic>Recesión económica</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20200005599">
<topic>COVID-19</topic>
</subject>
<subject authority="lcshac" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080638337">
<geographic>Estados Unidos</geographic>
</subject>
<classification authority="">921</classification>
<recordInfo>
<recordContentSource authority="marcorg">MAP</recordContentSource>
<recordCreationDate encoding="marc">210910</recordCreationDate>
<recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20210910092901.0</recordChangeDate>
<recordIdentifier source="MAP">MAP20210026553</recordIdentifier>
<languageOfCataloging>
<languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">spa</languageTerm>
</languageOfCataloging>
</recordInfo>
</mods>
</modsCollection>