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Turbulence after lift-off : global economic and insurance market outlook 2022-23

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<title>Turbulence after lift-off</title>
<subTitle>: global economic and insurance market outlook 2022-23</subTitle>
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<name type="corporate" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20170013402">
<namePart>Swiss Re Institute</namePart>
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<publisher>Swiss Re Institute</publisher>
<dateIssued>2021</dateIssued>
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<extent>42 p</extent>
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<abstract displayLabel="Summary">The world economy is making a strong recovery from the COVID-19 shock and the outlook is positive. However, peak growth is behind us and this cyclical recovery is not a structural one. We forecast global real economic growth of 5.6% in 2021, 4.1% in 2022 and 3.0% in 2023. The recovery will be uneven, with risks tilted to the downside. Supply-side shocks, including global supply chain issues, labour shortages and energy shortages, may persist, while monetary policy is becoming less accommodative. Inflation is our number one near-term macro risk and we expect it to be elevated for some time, stemming from the same supply-side factors that are constraining growth. Pressure is starting to feed into slower-moving but harder to reverse areas such as rent and wages. We expect these headwinds to weigh on the outlook in 2022 and 2023, making structural healing - the policies that work to reverse the permanent negative impacts of the pandemic on the economy - difficult.</abstract>
<note>Internacional</note>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080586294">
<topic>Mercado de seguros</topic>
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<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080611880">
<topic>Perspectivas del seguro</topic>
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<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080611897">
<topic>Perspectivas económicas</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080608316">
<topic>Recuperación económica</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20120019492">
<topic>Tendencias</topic>
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<classification authority="">219</classification>
<relatedItem type="series">
<titleInfo>
<title>Sigma</title>
<partNumber>No 5 /2021</partNumber>
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<title>Sigma</title>
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<recordCreationDate encoding="marc">211117</recordCreationDate>
<recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20211123123933.0</recordChangeDate>
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