The Economic outlook darkens
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| Tag | 1 | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| LDR | 00000cam a22000004b 4500 | ||
| 001 | MAP20220007634 | ||
| 003 | MAP | ||
| 005 | 20220308151118.0 | ||
| 008 | 220308s2022 deu|||| ||| ||eng d | ||
| 040 | $aMAP$bspa$dMAP | ||
| 084 | $a921 | ||
| 100 | 1 | $0MAPA20220002356$aMueller, Charlotte | |
| 245 | 1 | 4 | $aThe Economic outlook darkens$cCharlotte Mueller, Diana Van Der Watt |
| 260 | $aZurich$bSwiss Re Institute$c2022 | ||
| 300 | $a2 p. | ||
| 490 | 0 | $aIssue 4/2022 | |
| 520 | $aThe global economic outlook has worsened, even from our former below-consensus growth and above-consensus inflation forecasts. The ramifications of the conflict in Ukraine raise global uncertainty to a new level. We see higher likelihood of stagflation and recessionary outcomes resulting from the energy price shock, as the shock transitions from moderate to severe. Given its energy dependency on Russia, the immediate impact is larger for the euro area than US. We estimate that the energy price shock alone could lead to at least 1 to 2 percentage points (ppt) lower GDP growth and at least 1 to 2ppt higher inflation in the euro area. While energy is the primary channel today, we expect weaker financial conditions and consumer sentiment to drag on growth soon. | ||
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080546915$aEconomía | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080600648$aCrecimiento económico | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080611897$aPerspectivas económicas | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20090040410$aRecesión económica | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080543808$aEnergía | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080584221$aConflictos armados | |
| 650 | 4 | $0MAPA20080541224$aGuerra | |
| 700 | 1 | $0MAPA20220002349$aVan Der Watt, Diana | |
| 710 | 2 | $0MAPA20170013402$aSwiss Re Institute |