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MAP20240013691Strong fundamentals contrast rising volatility and heightened uncertainty around extent of rate cuts. — Adliswil, Swiss : Swiss Re Institute, 20244 p.
. — (Economic and financial risk insights ; August 2024)Sumario: Growth: normalisation progresses. Upside risk to full-year growth in US and Europe after a strong 2Q24, even though economic momentum is set to soften in 2H24. Inflation: disinflation on track, but some turbulence ahead. Reverse base effects will feed inflation volatility in 2H24, but we continue to expect a steady return to 2% targets. Interest rates: renewed focus on labour markets. Recent employment softening adds upside risk to our US rate call for this year. — Ámbito geográfico: Internacional1. Mercado de seguros. 2. Riesgo financiero. 3. Tipos de interés. 4. Inflación. 5. Empleo. I. Swiss Re Institute. II. Title.