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MAP20071503396Watkins, Michael D.Predictable surprises : the disasters you should have seen coming / Michael D. Watkins, Max H. BazermanThe article studies predictable surprises that have taken place in business and goverment. It has found that organization's inability to prepare for them can be traced to three kinds of barries: psychological, organizational and political. Executives might not be able to eliminate those barries entirely, but they can take pratical stpes to lower them substantially. And given the extrordinarily high stakes involved, taking those steps should be recognized as a core responsability of every business leaderEn: Harvard business review. - Boston. - March 2003 ; p. 72-801. Predicciones. 2. Vulnerabilidad. 3. Percepción del riesgo. 4. Empresas. 5. Dirección de empresas. 6. Estrategia empresarial. 7. Toma de decisiones. I. Bazerman, Max H.. II. Title. III. Título: Harvard business review.