Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE

MAP20110021559

Misconceptions of risk / Terje Aven. — West Sussex : John Wiley & Sons Ltd., 2010

VI, 240 p. ; 23 cm.

Sumario: Risk is equal to the expected value -- Risk is a probability or probability distribution -- Risk equals a probability distribution quantile (value-at-risk) -- Risk equals uncertainty -- Risk is equal to an event -- Risk equals expected disutility -- Risk is restricted to the case of objective probabilities -- Risk is the same as risk perception -- Risk relates to negative consequences only -- Risk is determined by the historical data -- Risk assessments produce an objetive risk picture -- There are large inherent uncertainties in risk analyses -- Model uncertainty should be quantified -- It is meaningful and useful to distinguish between stochastic and epistemic uncertainties -- Bayesian analysis is based on the use of probability models and bayesian updating -- Sensitivity analysis is a type of uncertainty analysis

ISBN 978-0-470-68388-0

1. Gerencia de riesgos . 2. Percepción del riesgo . 3. Incertidumbre . 4. Cálculo de probabilidades . 5. Modelos probabílisticos .

FUNDACIÓN MAPFRE. Centro de Documentación

FUNDACIÓN MAPFRE. Centro de Documentación — Signatura: MAP - 7 AVE MIS — Nº de registro: 049126

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