Seção: ArtigosTítulo: Combining experts : decomposition and aggregation order / Erin Baker, Olaitan OlaleyeAutor: Baker, ErinNotas: Sumario: In this article we ask, if quantities in an elicitation have been decomposed, is it better to combine experts before or after recomposing the quantities? We find that combining experts earlier, before recomposition of the quantities, leads to smaller errors with less variance. A simulation shows that these differences may be quite small on average; while an application to actual data shows that the differences can be significant in individual decision problems.Registros relacionados: En: Risk analysis : an international journal. - McLean, Virginia : Society for Risk Analysis, 1987-2015 = ISSN 0272-4332. - 10/06/2013 Volumen 33 Número 6 - junio 2013 , p. 1116-1127Outras classificações: 7Direitos: In Copyright (InC)Referencias externas:
