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Notas: Sumario: Probability and statistics are analytical tools with applications in many areas of knowledge. Unfortunately, for evolutionary reasons, our sense of probability and our ability to interpret patterns are poor:[1] our thought process struggles with large numbers; we are influenced by frames of reference; our choices are inconsistent; our views about gains and losses are asymmetric.Registros relacionados: En: Contingencies : American Academy of Actuaries. - Washington : American Academy of Actuaries, 2019-. - 05/07/2021 Año 2021 Número 4 - 2021 julio-agosto , p. 24-33Materia / lugar / evento: Cálculo actuarial Matemática del seguro Estadísticas Outras classificações: 6

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How Not to Be Wrong