Economic and industry outlook 2019 : fourth quarter perspectives

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      <subfield code="a">We are in a situation in which factors such as trade war and other crises are weighing on the problems globally, creating a situation in which an additional shock could include the balance towards the recession, although such a situation is not yet found. in the baseline scenario scenario that the report considers. However, the indicators of the imminence of a global recession are mixed and cannot be ruled out. If this is the case, the ability to reverse a slowdown through the usual monetary and fiscal levers could prove difficult. It is a situation of global vulnerability in which, although it is not the central scenario, the possibility of a recession is increasing, the instruments to face more limits, and its social and economic consequences more uncertain</subfield>
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