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Robust and efficient fitting of severity models and the method of Winsorized Moments

Recurso electrónico / electronic resource
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Tag12Value
LDR  00000cab a2200000 4500
001  MAP20180005725
003  MAP
005  20180320110829.0
008  180226e20180101bel|||p |0|||b|eng d
040  ‎$a‎MAP‎$b‎spa‎$d‎MAP
084  ‎$a‎6
100  ‎$0‎MAPA20140020805‎$a‎Zhao, Qian
24510‎$a‎Robust and efficient fitting of severity models and the method of Winsorized Moments‎$c‎Qian Zhao, Vytaras Brazauskas, Jugal Ghorai
520  ‎$a‎Continuous parametric distributions are useful tools for modeling and pricing insurance risks, measuring income inequality in economics, investigating reliability of engineering systems, and in many other areas of application. In this paper, we propose and develop a new method for estimation of their parameters the method of Winsorized moments (MWM)which is conceptually similar to the method of trimmed moments (MTM) and thus is robust and computationally efficient. Both approaches yield explicit formulas of parameter estimators for log-location-scale families and their variants, which are commonly used to model claim severity. Large-sample properties of the new estimators are provided and corroborated through simulations. Their performance is also compared to that of MTM and the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). In addition, the effect of model choice and parameter estimation method on risk pricing is illustrated using actual data that represent hurricane damages in the United States from1925 to 1995. In particular, the estimated pure premiums for an insurance layer are computedwhen the lognormal and log-logistic models are fitted to the data using the MWM, MTM and MLE methods.
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080592042‎$a‎Modelos matemáticos
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080592011‎$a‎Modelos actuariales
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080602437‎$a‎Matemática del seguro
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080579258‎$a‎Cálculo actuarial
700  ‎$0‎MAPA20090039018‎$a‎Brazauskas, Vytaras
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20180003196‎$a‎Ghorai, Jugal
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077000420‎$t‎Astin bulletin‎$d‎Belgium : ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association‎$x‎0515-0361‎$g‎01/01/2018 Volumen 48 Número 1 - enero 2018 , p. 275-309