Mind your step

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<dc:creator>Smith, Andrew</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2020-01-01</dc:date>
<dc:description xml:lang="es">Sumario: The idea of a long-term interest rate is embedded in actuarial thought and practice. While market interest rates fluctuate, we think about long-run averages driven by economic fundamentals. Tasks ranging from budgeting for pension contributions to the ultimate forward rate in Solvency II require assessments of long-run average returns. Estimation of long-run returns involves a mix of judgment and, sometimes, intricate quantitative models. Bayesian statistics gives us a framework for combining these elements: the judgment corresponds to a prior distribution of parameters, while the forecast is based on a posterior parameter distribution given some data
</dc:description>
<dc:identifier>https://documentacion.fundacionmapfre.org/documentacion/publico/es/bib/171466.do</dc:identifier>
<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
<dc:rights xml:lang="es">InC - http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/</dc:rights>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Teorema de Bayes</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Modelos actuariales</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Cálculo actuarial</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Tasas de interés</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Solvencia II</dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="es">Estadísticas</dc:subject>
<dc:type xml:lang="es">Artículos y capítulos</dc:type>
<dc:title xml:lang="es">Mind your step</dc:title>
<dc:relation xml:lang="es">En: The Actuary : the magazine of the Institute & Faculty of Actuaries. - London :  Redactive Publishing, 2019-. - 01/01/2020 Número 1 -  January/February 2020 , p. 28-30</dc:relation>
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