Search

Improving healthcare cost prediction for chronic disease through covariate clustering and subgroup analysis methods

Portada
MARC record
Tag12Value
LDR  00000cab a2200000 4500
001  MAP20260001739
003  MAP
005  20260202103507.0
008  260130e20250512bel|||p |0|||b|eng d
040  ‎$a‎MAP‎$b‎spa‎$d‎MAP
084  ‎$a‎6
100  ‎$0‎MAPA20210003042‎$a‎Li, Zhengxiao
24510‎$a‎Improving healthcare cost prediction for chronic disease through covariate clustering and subgroup analysis methods‎$c‎Zhengxiao Li, Yifan Huang and Yang Cao
520  ‎$a‎Predicting healthcare costs for chronic diseases is difficult because these costs depend not only on medical factors but also on patients' own perceptions and behaviors. To better capture this complexity, this paper introduces a new statistical framework that combines covariate clustering with finite mixture regression models. This approach groups highly related variables and identifies patient subgroups, improving both model interpretability and prediction accuracy in high-dimensional, noisy, and correlated data settings. The method uses a penalized clustering structure and a dedicated EMADMM algorithm to handle the challenging optimization problem. Through simulations and real-world data from diabetes patients, the framework shows strong stability and effectiveness: it improves predictions by sharing information across related variables and reveals meaningful behavioral patterns in patients' self-perception data.
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080602437‎$a‎Matemática del seguro
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080573867‎$a‎Seguro de salud
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080601232‎$a‎Enfermedades crónicas
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080579784‎$a‎Costes económicos
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20120011137‎$a‎Predicciones estadísticas
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080597733‎$a‎Modelos estadísticos
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080602642‎$a‎Modelos de simulación
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20260001302‎$a‎Huang, Yifan
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20260001319‎$a‎Cao, Yang
7102 ‎$0‎MAPA20100017661‎$a‎International Actuarial Association
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077000420‎$g‎12/05/2025 Volume 55 Issue 2 - may 2025 , p. 375 - 394‎$x‎0515-0361‎$t‎Astin bulletin‎$d‎Belgium : ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association