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From point to probabilistic gradient boosting for claim frequency and severity prediction

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MARC record
Tag12Value
LDR  00000cab a2200000 4500
001  MAP20260003023
003  MAP
005  20260211184311.0
008  260206e20250811che|||p |0|||b|eng d
040  ‎$a‎MAP‎$b‎spa‎$d‎MAP
084  ‎$a‎6
100  ‎$0‎MAPA20260002408‎$a‎Chevalier, Dominik
24510‎$a‎From point to probabilistic gradient boosting for claim frequency and severity prediction‎$c‎Dominik Chevalier and Marie-Pier Côté
520  ‎$a‎This survey paper provides a comprehensive review of point and probabilistic gradient boosting algorithms applied to insurance claim frequency and severity modelling. The authors compare leading boosting methodssuch as GBM, XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, EGBM, XGBoostLSS, cyc-GBM and NGBoostusing public insurance datasets of varying size and complexity. The study evaluates computational efficiency, predictive performance, model adequacy, and calibration. Results show that LightGBM and XGBoostLSS are the most computationally efficient, CatBoost performs well with high-cardinality categorical variables, and probabilistic boosting methods can improve model adequacy without sacrificing accuracy. The paper highlights that no single method is universally superior, and offers actuarial guidance for choosing boosting algorithms for pricing and risk modelling
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080592011‎$a‎Modelos actuariales
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20230006092‎$a‎Frecuencia siniestral
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20170005476‎$a‎Machine learning
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080611613‎$a‎Modelos probabílisticos
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080564322‎$a‎Tarificación
650 4‎$0‎MAPA20080592059‎$a‎Modelos predictivos
7001 ‎$0‎MAPA20260002415‎$a‎Côté, Marie-Pier
7102 ‎$0‎MAPA20180008764‎$a‎Springer
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20220007085‎$g‎11/08/2025 Volume 15 - Number 2 - August 2025 ‎$t‎European Actuarial Journal‎$d‎Cham, Switzerland : Springer Nature Switzerland AG, 2021-2022