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Replicating and extending chain-ladder via an ageperiodcohort structure on the claim development in a run-off triangle

Section: Articles
Title: Replicating and extending chain-ladder via an ageperiodcohort structure on the claim development in a run-off triangle / Gabriele Pittarello, Munir Hiabu and Andrés M. VillegasAuthor: Pittarello, Gabriele
Notes: Sumario: The article presents a new stochastic model for estimating claims reserves that exactly replicates the chain-ladder method by modeling claims development. The approach is based on an ageperiodcohort structure applied to development rates rather than claim amounts, thereby reducing parametric complexity. A formal connection with mortality models is established, and equivalence with the classical chain-ladder method is demonstrated. The paper introduces flexible extensions and empirically validates the model using real and simulated run-off triangles. In addition, the statistical R package clmplus is presented for practical implementationRelated records: En: North American actuarial journal. - Schaumburg : Society of Actuaries, 1997- = ISSN 1092-0277. - 16/03/2026 Tomo 30 Número 1 - 2026 , 31 p.Materia / lugar / evento: Cálculo actuarial Seguros no vida Mortalidad Modelos predictivos Inferencia estadística Otros autores: Hiabu, Munir Villegas, Andres M. Springer Nature Other categories: 6