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Combining experts : decomposition and aggregation order

MARC record
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001  MAP20130021836
003  MAP
005  20130723143254.0
008  130722e20130610esp|||p |0|||b|spa d
040  ‎$a‎MAP‎$b‎spa‎$d‎MAP
084  ‎$a‎7
1001 ‎$0‎MAPA20130009315‎$a‎Baker, Erin
24510‎$a‎Combining experts‎$b‎: decomposition and aggregation order‎$c‎Erin Baker, Olaitan Olaleye
520  ‎$a‎In this article we ask, if quantities in an elicitation have been decomposed, is it better to combine experts before or after recomposing the quantities? We find that combining experts earlier, before recomposition of the quantities, leads to smaller errors with less variance. A simulation shows that these differences may be quite small on average; while an application to actual data shows that the differences can be significant in individual decision problems.
7730 ‎$w‎MAP20077000345‎$t‎Risk analysis : an international journal‎$d‎McLean, Virginia : Society for Risk Analysis, 1987-2015‎$x‎0272-4332‎$g‎10/06/2013 Volumen 33 Número 6 - junio 2013 , p. 1116-1127
856  ‎$y‎MÁS INFORMACIÓN‎$u‎mailto:centrodocumentacion@fundacionmapfre.org?subject=Consulta%20de%20una%20publicaci%C3%B3n%20&body=Necesito%20m%C3%A1s%20informaci%C3%B3n%20sobre%20este%20documento%3A%20%0A%0A%5Banote%20aqu%C3%AD%20el%20titulo%20completo%20del%20documento%20del%20que%20desea%20informaci%C3%B3n%20y%20nos%20pondremos%20en%20contacto%20con%20usted%5D%20%0A%0AGracias%20%0A