| LDR | | | 00000cab a2200000 4500 |
| 001 | | | MAP20140017201 |
| 003 | | | MAP |
| 005 | | | 20140520144324.0 |
| 008 | | | 140519e20140203esp|||p |0|||b|spa d |
| 040 | | | $aMAP$bspa$dMAP |
| 084 | | | $a7 |
| 100 | 1 | | $0MAPA20140008735$aHunt, Andrew |
| 245 | 1 | 2 | $aA General procedure for constructing mortality models$cAndrew Hunt, David Blake |
| 520 | | | $aRecently a large number of new mortality models have been proposed to analyze historic mortality rates and project them into the future. Many of these suffer from being over-parametrized or have terms added in an ad hoc manner that cannot be justified in terms of demographic significance. In addition, poor specification of a model can lead to period effects in the data being wrongly attributed to cohort effects, which results in the model making implausible projections. We present a general procedure for constructing mortality models using a combination of a toolkit of functions and expert judgment. By following the general procedure, it is possible to identify sequentially every significant demographic feature in the data and give it a parametric structural form. We demonstrate using U.K. mortality data that the general procedure produces a relatively parsimonious model that nevertheless has a good fit to the data. |
| 773 | 0 | | $wMAP20077000239$tNorth American actuarial journal$dSchaumburg : Society of Actuaries, 1997-$x1092-0277$g03/02/2014 Tomo 18 Número 1 - 2014 |
| 856 | | | $yMÁS INFORMACIÓN$umailto:centrodocumentacion@fundacionmapfre.org?subject=Consulta%20de%20una%20publicaci%C3%B3n%20&body=Necesito%20m%C3%A1s%20informaci%C3%B3n%20sobre%20este%20documento%3A%20%0A%0A%5Banote%20aqu%C3%AD%20el%20titulo%20completo%20del%20documento%20del%20que%20desea%20informaci%C3%B3n%20y%20nos%20pondremos%20en%20contacto%20con%20usted%5D%20%0A%0AGracias%20%0A |
