Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Macroeconomics of natural disasters: strengths and weaknesses of meta-analysis versus review of literature

MAP20150027733

Macroeconomics of natural disasters: strengths and weaknesses of meta-analysis versus review of literature / Peter A. G. van Bergeijk, Sara Lazzaroni

Sumario: We use the case of the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters to analyze strengths and weaknesses of meta-analysis in an emerging research field. Macroeconomists have published on this issue since 2002 (we identified 60 studies to date). The results of the studies are contradictory and therefore the need to synthesize the available research is evident. Meta-analysis is a useful method in this field. An important aim of our article is to show how one can use the identified methodological characteristics to better understand the robustness and importance of new findings. To provide a comparative perspective, we contrast our meta-analysis and its findings with the major influential research synthesis in the field: the IPCC's 2012 special report Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. We show that the IPCC could have been more confident about the negative economic impact of disasters and more transparent on inclusion and qualification of studies, if it had been complemented by a meta-analysis

En: Risk analysis : an international journal. - McLean, Virginia : Society for Risk Analysis, 1987-2015 = ISSN 0272-4332. - 01/06/2015 Volumen 35 Número 6 - junio 2015 , p. 1050-1072

1. Gerencia de riesgos . 2. Cambio climático . 3. Desastres naturales . 4. Macroeconomía . I. Lazzaroni, Sara . II. Title.