MAP20070027654Vose, DavidQuantitative risk analysis : a guide to Monte Carlo simulation modelling / David Vose. — Chichester [etc.] : John Wiley & Sons, cop. 1996XII, 328 p. ; 23 cmSumario: What is quantitative risk analysis? -- Probability theory and statistics -- Probability distributions -- Building a risk analysis model -- Deriving distributions from data -- Defining distributions from expert opinion -- Modelling dependencies -- Project risk analysis -- Incorporating uncertainty into time series projections -- Presenting and interpreting risk analysis results