Energy outlook : green now or grieve later

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<title>Energy outlook : green now or grieve later</title>
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<namePart>Atradius Crédito y Caución S.A. de Seguros y Reaseguros</namePart>
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<dateIssued>2026</dateIssued>
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<abstract displayLabel="Summary">The global energy transition is slowing, demand for oil and gas is expected to peak later and fuel prices are likely to remain higher for longer. For fuel-importing economies, this more pessimistic outlook is more than a climate concern: it is a growing economic vulnerability. The recent oil and gas price hikes because of the war in the Middle East may already expose this vulnerability of fuel-importing economies in the short term. To gauge how exposed fuel-importing economies really are, we combine a historical decomposition of their import bills with forward-looking scenario analysis based on medium-term trend</abstract>
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<topic>Sector energético</topic>
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<topic>Transición energética</topic>
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<topic>Vulnerabilidad</topic>
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<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080561789">
<topic>Combustibles</topic>
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<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080584221">
<topic>Conflictos armados</topic>
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<topic>Perspectivas económicas</topic>
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<title>March 2026</title>
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