Centro de Documentacion de Fundación MAPFRE - Statistical inference for Lee-Carter mortality model and corresponding forecasts

Notas: Sumario: This article proposes a modified Lee-Carter model, provides a rigorous statistical inference, and derives the asymptotic distributions of the proposed estimators and unit root test when the mortality index is nearly integrated and errors in the model satisfy some mixing conditions. After a unit root hypothesis is not rejected, future mortality forecasts can be obtained via the proposed inference.Registros relacionados: En: North American actuarial journal. - Schaumburg : Society of Actuaries, 1997- = ISSN 1092-0277. - 02/09/2019 Tomo 23 Número 3 - 2019 , p. 335-363Materia / lugar / evento: Cálculo actuarial Modelos actuariales Esperanza de vida Mortalidad Estadística Otros autores: Ling, Chen
Peng, Liang
Otras clasificaciones: 6

‌ Ver detalle del número