COVID-19: quarantined economics

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      <subfield code="a">From a health crisis to a triple shock on the economy -- Exceptional policies for exceptional times -- Our baselines: a sever recession in 2020 and a u-shaped recovery in 2021 -- Alternative scenario: a protacted crisis (and L-shaped scenario) -- For capital markets, it will still get worse before it gest better -- For companies, expect a delayed wave of defaults in spite of policy measures -- Canaries in tha coal mine -- Long-term consequencies: the legacy of a crisis</subfield>
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