MAP20200037828The 2021 ageing report : underlying assumptions & projection methodologies / European Commission, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs . — Brussels : European Commission, 2020238 p.
. — (Intitutional Paper ; nº 142, november 2020)Sumario: 2021 Ageing Report: mandate and general principles -- Main results: the economic impact of population ageing -- Underlying assumptions and projection methodologies: Population; Labour force projections ; Labour productivity and potential GDP; Interest rates; Sensitivity tests and alternative scenarios -- Age-related expenditure items: coverage, projection methodologies and data sources : Pensions; Healthcare; Long-term care ; Education; Annexes: A1. Projecting labour force developments using the cohort simulation model (CSM) ; A2. Estimation of the average exit age from the labour market ; A3. Methodology underpinning potential GDP growth projections: A3.1. Description of the production function framework ; A3.2. Potential GDP projections for the first ten years ('t+10' projections) -- A4. Pension projection reporting sheet ; A5. Overview of pension systems in the Member States ; A6. Coverage and specification of pension schemes ; A7. Long-term care model structure ; A8. Sources of data to compute healthcare and long-term care ; A8.1. Data sources healthcare; A8.2. Data sources long-term care ; A9. Mathematical illustration of the healthcare scenarios; A10. Mathematical illustration of the long-term care scenarios; A11. Organisational structure of secondary education; A12. Sources of data for education expenditure ; A13. Estimating the education enrolment rate -- Statistical Annex
