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Convergence and divergence in mortality : a global studyfrom 1990 to 2030

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<title>Convergence and divergence in mortality : a global studyfrom 1990 to 2030</title>
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<name type="personal" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20220004978">
<namePart>Atance, David</namePart>
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<name type="personal" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080256593">
<namePart>Varea Soler, Javier</namePart>
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<namePart>Vilnius Gediminas Technical University</namePart>
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<abstract displayLabel="Summary">An empirical question that has motivated demographers is whether there is convergence or divergence in mortality/longevityaround the world. The epidemiological transition is the starting point for studying a global process of mortality convergence. This manuscript aims to provide an update on the concept of mortality convergence/divergence. The authors perform a comprehensive examination of nine different mortality indicators from a global perspective using clustering methods in the period 1990-2030. In addition, they include analyses of projections to provide insights into prospective trajectories of convergence clubs, a dimension unexplored in previous work. The results indicate that mortality convergence clubs of 194 countries by sex resemble the configuration of continents. These five clubs show a common steady upward trend in longevity indicators, accompanied by aprogressive reduction in disparities between sexes and between groups of countries. Furthermore, this paper shows insights into the historical evolution of the convergence clubs in the period 1990-2020 and expands their scope to include projections of theirexpected future evolution in 2030</abstract>
<accessCondition type="use and reproduction">La copia digital se distribuye bajo licencia "Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY NC 4.0)"</accessCondition>
<note type="statement of responsibility">David Atance... [et al.]</note>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080594657">
<topic>Análisis demográfico</topic>
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<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080555306">
<topic>Mortalidad</topic>
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<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080555016">
<topic>Longevidad</topic>
</subject>
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<topic>Evolución demográfica</topic>
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<topic>Proyecciones demográficas</topic>
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<geographic>España</geographic>
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<url displayLabel="electronic resource">https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0295842</url>
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<title>PLOS ONE Journals.- Mumbai :  VART Consulting PVT LTD</title>
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<text>January 17, 2024 ; 13 p.</text>
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