Ageing, AI and the revival of industrial policy-structural regime shifts redefine global economy, says Swiss Re Institute

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<title>Ageing, AI and the revival of industrial policy-structural regime shifts redefine global economy, says Swiss Re Institute</title>
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<dateIssued>2025</dateIssued>
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<abstract displayLabel="Summary">The document highlights major structural shifts reshaping the global economy, driven by fiscal expansion, industrial policy, ageing populations, and rapid AI adoption. Global GDP growth is projected to stabilize at 2.5% in 2026 and 2.6% in 2027, below pre-pandemic levels, while inflation remains above 2% in advanced economies due to fiscal dominance and industrial spending. Insurance markets are expected to maintain strong profitability, supported by high long-term interest rates and demographic trends, with global premiums growing 2.3% annually in real terms and life premiums reaching USD 4.1 trillion by 2027. The report underscores opportunities and challenges for insurers, including AI-driven operational efficiencies, longevity-related product innovation, and risk modeling without historical precedents, while emphasizing the need for resilience amid fragmentation and concentration risks in global supply chains</abstract>
<tableOfContents displayLabel="Contents">Fiscal expansion, industrial policy, ageing societies and AI to transform global economy and risk landscape -- Global GDP growth to stabilise at 2.5% in 2026 and 2.6% in 2027 with inflation to remain above 2% in advanced economies -- Global insurance premiums to grow by 2.3% annually in real terms with life insurance premiums to be on track to reach USD 4.1 trillion by 2027 -- Structural regime shifts reshape insurance landscape -- AI  opportunity and challenge -- Insurance markets maintain robust profitability -- Table 1: Real GDP growth and CPI inflation forecasts, 2024 to 2027F -- Table 2: Insurance premium growth forecast in real terms -- How to order this sigma study -- Disclaimer -- About Swiss Re</tableOfContents>
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