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Exchangeable mortality projection

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<titleInfo>
<title>Exchangeable mortality projection</title>
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<name type="personal" usage="primary" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20220002196">
<namePart>Shapovalov, Vered</namePart>
<nameIdentifier>MAPA20220002196</nameIdentifier>
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<name type="personal" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20110013387">
<namePart>Landsman, Zinoviy</namePart>
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<name type="personal" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20110013424">
<namePart>Makov, Udi E.</namePart>
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<genre authority="marcgt">periodical</genre>
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<dateIssued encoding="marc">2021</dateIssued>
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<abstract displayLabel="Summary">In this study we derive a novel multi-population Lee-Carter type model. Specifically, we extend the Bayesian model in Czado et al. (Insur Math Econ 36:260284, 2005) to allow exchangeability between parameters of a group of m populations. In a validation-based examination, the proposed model is found to be beneficial for several examined countries. Also, we examine changes in forecasting ability due to varying calibration periods. Our results suggest that mortality rates from a distant past are inferior to those from a more recent past.

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<note type="statement of responsibility">Vered Shapovalov, Zinoviy Landsman, Udi Makov </note>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080555306">
<topic>Mortalidad</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080618070">
<topic>Proyecciones demográficas</topic>
</subject>
<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080602642">
<topic>Modelos de simulación</topic>
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<subject xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="MAPA20080579258">
<topic>Cálculo actuarial</topic>
</subject>
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<titleInfo>
<title>European Actuarial Journal</title>
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<publisher>Cham, Switzerland  : Springer Nature Switzerland AG,  2021-2022</publisher>
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<identifier type="local">MAP20220007085</identifier>
<part>
<text>07/06/2021 Número 1 - junio 2021 , 113-133</text>
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<recordCreationDate encoding="marc">220228</recordCreationDate>
<recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20220228162637.0</recordChangeDate>
<recordIdentifier source="MAP">MAP20220007160</recordIdentifier>
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